Apple Inc.
Two-Stage DCF — Fair Value
For companies expected to have a high growth period followed by a mature steady state.
Fair Value
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Market Value
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vs. Fair Value
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Formula: Fair Value = Σ CFₙ ÷ (1 + Discount Rate)ⁿ for n = 1…High-Growth Years — years 1…High-Growth Years grow at the High-Growth Rate — plus Terminal Value ÷ (1 + Discount Rate)^High-Growth Years, where Terminal Value = Final Cash Flow × (1 + Terminal Growth Rate) ÷ (Discount Rate − Terminal Growth Rate)
Rule No. 1 : Never lose money. Rule No. 2 : Never forget Rule No. 1.